Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.695994 2.048584 2.478644 3.049321 3.798228 4.764174 6.132369e+00
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.228590 1.650153 2.242628 3.167590 4.637659 7.004841 1.139353e+01
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.934697 1.342729 1.971697 3.070242 5.081045 8.946374 1.804189e+01
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.792642 1.202446 1.884384 3.196807 5.929188 12.173072 3.117386e+01
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.680683 1.076634 1.776041 3.231905 6.612002 15.640682 5.117314e+01
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.583067 0.951558 1.632670 3.140135 6.964215 18.645509 7.733039e+01
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.511862 0.858472 1.525303 3.085245 7.383729 22.365608 1.205011e+02
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.480150 0.831576 1.540691 3.315664 8.746727 31.347091 2.535434e+02
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.447920 0.797324 1.532015 3.484696 10.065131 42.680777 5.578623e+02
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.409046 0.743101 1.467567 3.483634 10.817725 52.941543 1.125821e+03
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.370812 0.684453 1.381418 3.393711 11.189778 62.076508 2.188433e+03
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.346778 0.652350 1.351544 3.463102 12.316171 80.801126 6.630403e+03
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.329466 0.633169 1.351581 3.637184 14.171193 115.624157 4.738122e+04
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.307517 0.600769 1.312562 3.672177 15.420436 152.703406 9.023823e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.281252 0.555206 1.231177 3.532421 15.591785 177.097601 3.352697e+08
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.268687 0.539787 1.227629 3.678921 17.741480 261.881836 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.253705 0.516704 1.198761 3.719845 19.302459 361.238005 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.235605 0.484028 1.137357 3.609957 19.666417 436.001508 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.220674 0.457549 1.089851 3.544394 20.370273 550.794095 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.216321 0.456772 1.117947 3.819791 24.557801 1057.951289 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.210055 0.450377 1.127999 4.022437 28.614251 2018.403158 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.199608 0.432030 1.097658 4.021162 30.553565 3118.975961 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.187826 0.409056 1.049177 3.913294 31.099719 4198.263899 NaN